Posted by ... on April 13, 2020 at 19:17:17:
In Reply to: Re: Math is hard. posted by POS on April 13, 2020 at 14:45:54:
: : : I don't care what its called all you are doing is spreading a bunch of B/S and spreading it thick!!First of all 256 million is a big number...
: : Basically what you are saying is "that can't happen because I don't understand the math and the problem just seems inconceivable to me."
: : That's not really sound reasoning. We are now seeing a second wave in some countries. We have not reached the top of a first wave. There will be no vaccine for at least a year. We currently have no natural antibodies to this virus and no proven effective treatment. If we re-open too soon, that 256 million number could happen pretty easily. It would take 9 weeks if it continues to double at the rate it has been doubling. Hopefully it will slow down considerably, but that hasn't happened yet.
: : Walt's Dog
: Hey Walt or whoever the F you are. I went to high school and college. I know what that asshat was saying and understand math perfectly. You honestly think that 256 million people would have or could become infected from this virus? Think about that for a minute. We are not in the Bubonic Plague era where millions upon millions died because of unsanitary conditions and fleas on rats. We can point at Spanish Flu back in 1918 as our last pandemic where 500 million were infected worldwide and anywhere between 20 and 50 million people died. Out of all of those deaths 675,000 were here in the United States.
: What I am getting at is we have changed a society. We have great and available health care, we mostly live in better housing and everything is moderately sanitary.
We may be more advanced and more sanitary than 100 years ago, but travel, trade, and a fourfold increase in population since the Spanish Flu are contributing factors in the spread of Coronavirus.
Many American cities did shut down during the Spanish Flu.
Others felt it unpatriotic, and Philadelphia suffered horribly for their victory parade.
Still, even with the limited precautions taken in 1918, the death tolls adjusted for today's population would easily be in the millions.
That's why we shut everything down this time.
Unfortunately, we didn't shut down all international travel, and track down anyone who entered the country in the week leading up to China's announcement of Wuhan being "closed".
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