Posted by POS on April 12, 2020 at 15:08:24:
In Reply to: Re: Will there be HS sports next school year? posted by its called logarithmic expansion on April 11, 2020 at 18:47:02:
: : : : : : Surprised no one talking about this, and I am surprised people are still posting Summer tournaments.
: : : : : : Fall sports I believe have little chance of happening, it's just too soon and if/when schools reopen the focus will be on everything besides sports. Winter is flu season and most likely time for a second wave of the virus to hit. Can't imagine schools bussing teams of players to other schools 2-3 times a week. Spring could have a small chance if all goes right (early vaccine, etc) but at that point might as well skip all sports for the year. Most districs will be happy to save the money.
: : : : : : Thoughts?
: : : : : I have the same line of thought as you. IF IF IF there is even an ATTEMPT at in person school in Aug/Sept, there surely will not be ANY extra curricular activities, no clubs, choir, drama, sports, anything that keeps the school in charge longer than just the normal academic school day.
: : : : I would be surprised if things aren't mostly back to normal by then. If you look at the numbers and understand how infection rate and all that works, you'd calculate that everyone will be infected and recovered by then. The disease is considered to be an R0=2 or 3 which means the infected number doubles or triples daily. But thanks to social distancing and the quarantine we've slowed that by about 1/5. Which means the number of infected is doubling or tripling every 5 days or so. At that rate, the disease will have run its course by the end of May.
: : : : It is just simple math. Currently it is estimated (very conservatively) that between 1 to 3 million Americans are or have been infected. Using the low of 1 million, double that number every 6 days for 48 days and on May 28th you have
: : : : Today: 1 million
: : : : 6 days - 2 million
: : : : 12 days - 4 million
: : : : 18 days - 8 million
: : : : 24 days - 16 million
: : : : 30 days - 32 million
: : : : 36 days - 64 million
: : : : 42 days - 128 million
: : : : 48 days - 256 million
: : : Just loons. We will easily be back by August, if not sooner. No way are these stats even close to what is going to happen. Again. Loons
: : You all are a bunch of idiots and need to do something else with your time and energy. Read a book or something. I would say watch porn but we all know that's what you have been doing for the past few weeks. I get that you are bored and miss watching little kids running around like a bunch of pedophiles that you are. Its okay. Things will get back to normal. The schools and CIF will get back to sports when the time is right. If the numbers remain low then the kids will be allowed to practice and if things by the time schools starts are down then schools will be back in session. There is so much money involved and the school districts and CIF thrive on money so they will have sports in the fall and all year. This was an overreaction by everyone involved to shut everything down.
: : The person saying that in 48 days there will be 256 million people infected is the exact reason why we are all on lockdown. Idiots that failed math classes or do common core math are telling everyone that 56% of the population of California would be infected with Coronavirus and the numbers aren't even close. Even if we would have carried on with our daily lives and took all of the necessary precautions we do now, the social distancing and actually washing our hands the numbers wouldn't even get close to 56% of the population of California being sick, why because that's an impossible number. 20,000,000 people getting sick when there are currently 18,309 confirmed cases with probably more that are unconfirmed but still its only .0462816% of the population of California that is currently infected with Coronavirus. Even if that number were to double in the next month that still wouldn't even get to .01% of the population of California being affected. Even if this virus comes back in the winter we as a country and state will be better prepared for it. Let's think logically and get back to our lives and back to the things we love to do like the gym, going to the movies, watching our favorite sports teams and for all of the parents living through their kid's lives back to high school sports.
: Here's the issue with things that increase exponentially:
: Assuming you have one month's worth of savings, would you prefer a penny salary that can be deferred to the next day, and in the process double each day it is not received through 31 days, or 100k per day throughout the month?
: The only reason half the state and country don't have it yet is the shutdown AND social distancing. Even with under .5% of this country infected, 20k have died. You want to see what over 50% would look like, with all cases taking place within the same month? Not to mention how swamped the hospitals would be, heart attack patients would die at home, with hospitals packed with Covid patients on every floor.
: Also, would the poor and even middle class who have been laid off and lost their HMOs have any chance at healthcare in such an event? Could that not cause serious social unrest? This shutdown is no fear mongering hoax, every infected country has some similar measures in place. USA is less restrictive and invasive than some. So far.
: Of course the country would have to be re-opened to some extent by June at the latest. I agree that if schools are back in session, sports will be back as well.
I don't care what its called all you are doing is spreading a bunch of B/S and spreading it thick!!First of all 256 million is a big number to throw out there and we aren't even close to reaching that number and we wouldn't even if we continued our daily lives. People like you, the media and any other so-called expert need to just be quiet. The numbers don't lie. The city I live in which is about 78,000 people currently has 50 Coronavirus cases. Up 18 cases from last Sunday. OH MY GOD!! Sound the panic alarm. It didn't double in a week like your little chart explains. As of right now, our country has 557,235 total cases with 24,356 new cases today so far and 21,956 deaths. 1,379 new deaths so far today. I don't see 2 million cases after 6 days. Way off base and frankly you need to just be quiet. So far 0.16856344% of the US population has been infected with Coronavirus. 0.00664168% of the US population has died from the Coronavirus. I am sure you are the kind of person that feels that one death is too many but there really isn't most of the medical field or politicians could have done to prevent or save everyone from this virus. We can shelter indoor and do all of these things we are doing and we can stop this virus. But people posting doomsday numbers need to just keep their opinions and thoughts to themselves.
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