Posted by 3A on February 01, 2017 at 01:20:23:
In Reply to: Re: .500 rule posted by Coach on January 31, 2017 at 14:33:32:
: : : : : : Looking at 3A there are only about 25 teams above .500. Is CIF really going to punish those teams that are in tough leagues and competed in tough pre-league games to prepare?
: : : : : : What a catch 22.......you schedule tougher non-league games to prepare for league but then get punished.
: : : : : : If you schedule cream-puffs then you aren't really preparing your kids for battle.
: : : : : #5 Moorpark 11-13
: : : : : #7 Crossroads 9-13
: : : : : #10 Oxnard 10-12
: : : : : Most Likely will drop below .500
: : : : : #12 St. Marys 12-11
: : : : : #16 Simi 11-10
: : : : : Are these teams OUT ?
: : : : :
: : : : : : This rule is one of the most idiotic rules CIF has ever come with. What is the rationale behind it? Don't say avoiding the first round blowouts........those will happen anyway. Why wouldn't CIF want the extra $$$$ from a bigger bracket?
: : : : You need a .500 record to apply for an at-large bid. If your team is top half of league then they continue to be automatic qualifiers regardless of overall record. The .500 rule for at-large teams still stinks as many good teams/programs will be out due to pre-season and league scheduling.
: : : Top half of league is automatically qualified regardless.
: : : Moorpark and Simi Valley are currently 2nd and 3rd in their league and look like they will both make it.
: : : Oxnard is currently 3rd in their league and needs to beat Channel Islands again and they are in. (Beat them by 14 last time.)
: : : Crossroads has a solid chance of getting in. If they lose to Viewpoint on Thursday, they might not though.
: : : St. Mary's looks like they are not going to get top half of league, however, if they go 1-2 in their final games in league (same outcome as their first go around) then they will be bottom half with a 13-13 record. So it really depends on their last non-league game in the shootout at JSerra. Then again, if they lose to St Gens, that they are out.
: : : Despite hovering around .500, I would bet four or even all five make the playoffs.
: : Crossroads and Viewpoint play in the Gold Coast league, home of Sierra Canyon and Windward.
: : Their league is strange as they have a tournament at the end of the year (like in college), which is how I believe they determine their league champion and automatic qualifiers.
St. Mary's is interesting because they are listed at 12-12 but one of those is a forfeit win at the beginning of the season. They have another win listed that day, so I am wondering if they are really 11-12. I hope they make it.
You can be under .500 if you place in your league.. some leagues have 2 qualifiers, some have 3 qualifiers and some have 4 qualifiers depending on the size of the league.
In the Crossroads, Viewpoint, Paraclete league, they will likely finish 3, 4, 5 (Crossroads, Paraclete, Viewpoint).. Not sure how their tournament works but I believe 3 plays 4 and 5 plays 6 (6 would be Brentwood), but I might be wrong (and Brentwood could get 5 if they beat Paraclete since I don't know their tiebreaking system).....2 of those 3 will get automatics.. if Viewpoint is the non-automatic, the will get in as an at-large due t an above .500 record. Crossroads and Paraclete need to get an auto or else they will not be above .500.
Moorpark is pretty safe as long as they don't lose everyone of their remaining league games.
Oxnard is fine -- they will finish 2nd or 3rd in their league and get a auto.
3A rankings right now:
1 Los Osos (In -- 2nd place)
2 Flintridge Prep (In -- League Champion)
3 Lancaster (In -- 2nd place)
4 Viewpoint (In -- At-Large or place)
5 Moorpark (In -- 2nd or 3rd place)
6 LaSalle (In -- 2nd place or league Champ)
7 Crossroads (In -- 3rd or 4th place)
8 Rancho Verde (In -- At-Large and scary)
9 Irvine (In -- 3rd place)
10 Oxnard (In -- 3rd place)
11 Beaumont (In -- 3rd place or At-Large)
12 St. Mary's Academy (Maybe -- At-Large)
13 Shadow Hills (In -- League Champion)
14 Louisville (In - At-Large)
15 Granite Hills (In 3rd Place and best player)
16 Simi Valley (In - 3rd place or at-large)
Others (no particular order):
17 Savanna (In - League Champion)
18 Montebello (In -- 2nd place)
19 Marina (In -- place in league)
20 Villa Park (In -- place in league)
21 Perris (In -- place in league or at-large)
22 SLO (In -- at-large, must win 1 more)
23 Bellflower (In -- League Place)
24 Hemet (In -- league place or at-large)
25 Temple City (In -- league place)
26 Sierra Vista (In -- league place)
27 Katella (In -- League place)
28 Chaffey (In -- league place or at large)
29 Paraclete (league place or at-large)
30 La Sierra (league place)
31 Don Lugo (league place)
32 Wilson (league place despite 3-20 record)
33 Price (currently 8-11 must win out)
34 Bell Gardens (10-10 but last 4 are tough)
35 Citrus Valley (maybe 4th in league but lost tonight to drop to 5th)
The other 23 teams are pretty much out.. a couple decent teams in tough leagues...
So my best guess is 28 are pretty much locked (with a couple of those having to win a game or two, but should) Of the 4 potentials, pretty sure at least 1-2 make it and maybe all 4... If all 4 potentials make it or 1 of the longshots pulls through, we could have 32 in the bracket, but I will settle on 30.
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