Scouting is like aiming at a moving target...

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Posted by scout on February 04, 2019 at 15:55:55:

In Reply to: Re: Oakwood will Roll To Finals posted by Fan of the Game on February 04, 2019 at 15:01:11:

: : : : : There are about 4 teams that can beat Oakwood...

: : : : : The Darkhorse up top with the height to match them

: : : : : The best shooting team Western Christian

: : : : : Vistamar can beat them

: : : : : and a team from the coast might catch them by surprise. Oakwood is very very beatable... but you are an amazing fan... coach!

: : : : I don't usually agree with the guy touting Oakwood on here, but I have to say that beating de Toledo and Pacifica Christian as they did puts Oakwood head and shoulders above the rest of this division. Vistamar won't make it past Carpinteria, and couldn't beat Oakwood even if the big man sat out.

: : : : Though Nordhoff in Ojai will be a tough road trip and new challenge for Oakwood next Tuesday. Oakwood fan, I'd be driving to Ojai this Wednesday if I were you. Get a feel for the court and the drive and the type of officiating you might see, because you will be going there in 8 days. Nordhoff's home game doesn't count as a home game or road game because it is a play-in game, so there will be no pre-flip Tuesday regarding Oakwood's second round matchup with Nordhoff.

: : : I just watched Nordoff play via several videos. Without sounding too pompous or vain, I believe, Oakwood will beat Nordoff (if they play them) by at least 20 points. Oakwood is serious, they play hard nosed in your face defense. They have several tough players including their amazing 6'5 center Oliver. Nordoff does not appear to be that tough. Oakwood wont take them lightly but i believe Oakwoods conditioning and tournament experience will benefit them immeasurably.

: : I know we have heard about the Big man but are the Oakwood top guards seniors?

: No - and that, "could be", Oakwoods one weakness. Their guards are younger and not seniors. If i were playing them, id attack their guards. But that said, they do move the ball well.

Did you see Nordhoff play at home, with their crowd present? I saw their game vs Villanova Prep on 12/8 and they looked below average, but the following week they defeated Thacher, whom they had lost to by 20 the day before the Villanova Prep game.

Nordhoff lost 75-55 at Thacher on 12/7, and exactly one week later, the same team defeated Thacher 53-50 @ Nordhoff. Oakwood will probably still win, but you never know about foul trouble, momentum refereeing, and shooting backgrounds on the road.

Officiating can be unpredictable in the 5A playoffs, especially in the earlier rounds. CIF sends the 3 officials from different areas, each having their own style, and sometimes one of them ends up calling the game very close.

But second round shouldn't be too bad as there are only 72 games going on at once in the Southern Section - although with a 3-man playoff crew, that's the same number of refs that would be in action on a 108 game night in the regular season.

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