Re: OC TOP 10


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Posted by Engineer on October 12, 2017 at 20:19:58:

In Reply to: Re: OC TOP 10 posted by HoopsJunkie on October 12, 2017 at 15:43:01:

: The way I see it, the schools that regularly recruit and do it well will end up in the Open or 1AA division and play against the best talent anyway. The ones that don't will remain at the lower levels and play against similar teams. So divisional rankings even at the small OC level makes sense. Let me give it a try. This is simply based on the last two years and based on CIFSS scoring - as imperfect as it may be at the moment, it is better than how it was previously IMHO.

: : Open / D-1
: : 1) Mater Dei -43
: : 2) Santa Marg - 36
: : 3) Esperanza - 29
: : 4) O Lu - 28
: : 5) Edison - 28
: : 6) Los Al - 27
: : 7) J serra - 26
: : 8) Villa Park - 24

: : D-2AA

: : 1)Sonora - 23
: : 2)Corona del Mar - 22.98
: : 3)Capistrano Valley - 22.94
: : 4)El Toro - 22.93
: : 5)Buena Park - 21.8
: : 6)San Clemente - 21.6
: : 7)Servite - 21.5
: : 8)HB - 21.1
: : 9)Northwood - 20.9
: : 10) Aliso Niguel -20.8
: : 11) Canyon - 20.7

: : D2-A

: : 1) Cypress - 19.8
: : 2) Trabuco Hills - 19.3
: : 3) Foothill - 19
: : 4) Newport harbor - 18.8
: : 5) Yorba Linda - 18.7
: : 6) Tesoro - 18.6


: The problem with only looking back at past performance is you miss out on the graduation factor. For example Sonora, Esperanza, Buena Park lost significant pieces to graduation and will not be as good as they were the last couple of years.

I agree 100%. It would be great if beside the weightings for (33%) second to last, and (66%) for last year, there was some weighting attributed to the current year - maybe from results of a pre-season tournament or Fall league. This would take into account the strength of the current team. I agree that teams like Esperanza (losing KZ and other seniors) would likely not have the season they had last year. I could also see Edison and Los Al being ranked lower than J Serra and Villa Park (Who both got impact transfers!) this year. Crean Lutheran is also a team that is in a much lower Division then their current team deserves.
In a nutshell, transfers make a big difference and somehow this should be reflected in the rankings and Division placements. Maybe a 20%, 30% and 50% for the last two years plus the largest weighting for the current team make up? What do y'all think?




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